DEMO · SYNTHETIC PRESCRIPTION DATA · GENERATED SERIES, INVENTED DRUGS
Drug Script Analysis
Is this week's prescription count signal or noise? Two methods answer side by side — simple week-over-week change, and a rolling z-score with holiday-excluded baselines — with thresholds that adapt to where the drug is in its lifecycle.
Brand New Release
Lifecycle stage
4 wks
Z-score baseline window
±10% / ±20%
WoW in-line / slight bands
36%
Methods agree
Weekly scripts
Meaningful +Slight +In-lineSlight −Meaningful −Baseline◆ holiday week
Same weeks, two verdicts
WOW
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Z-SCORE
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Where the methods disagree — and why it matters
- wk of Aug 07WoW says Slightly Above (+18.4%) · Z-score says Meaningfully Above (+2.54σ)sharp weekly move the baseline says is normal range
- wk of Jun 26WoW says In-Line (+10.0%) · Z-score says Slightly Above (+1.25σ)quiet week, but drifting vs its 4-week baseline
- wk of Jun 19WoW says In-Line (-7.6%) · Z-score says Slightly Above (+1.25σ)quiet week, but drifting vs its 4-week baseline
- wk of May 29WoW says Slightly Above (+13.9%) · Z-score says Meaningfully Above (+2.56σ)sharp weekly move the baseline says is normal range
SYNTHETIC DEMO · SERIES ARE GENERATED · METHODOLOGY MIRRORS THE REAL TOOL